Published on 31 Jan 2012

No Tory MPs uprising over Europe – yet

Ed Miliband had his best outing yet on the EU Council statement. The PM looked on shaky ground, a bit like one of David Attenborough’s seals on a small floating iceberg.

But there was no coordinated attempt to tip the iceberg over by Tory whales today so he was never in mortal danger.

You could say the most dangerous words came from Ming Campbell and Simon Hughes congratulating the PM on a much more conciliatory summit than his last one. A couple of menacing questions on the IMF loan trying to get PM to commit to no more funds (he wouldn’t). Although it is hard to imagine Labour opposing a second IMF boost a Tory rebellion could be even bigger (albeit less immediately threatening) if there was no actual risk of government defeat on an IMF vote.

The No Turning Back group of MPs met last night with the Cornerstone Group and chewed over David Cameron’s U-turn on whether the EU 25 can use the institutions of the 27.

There were more informal huddles earlier today. There’s “no strong single line” emerging, I’m told. Quite a few normally outspoken MPs genuinely thought the PM “had no choice” on the issue, though there is a sense amongst some that he has marched people up the hill again.

 

“This is a mark against his card – but not a trigger for a rebellion,” was one MP’s take on it.

The session this afternoon in the Commons looks like being “probing” not aggressive for the most part.

The vote on an increased contribution to the IMF, though, if and when it comes, could be a very different affair.

 

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6 reader comments

  1. StuartM says:

    I would suspect the IMF funding increase vote would depend on the US’s contributions. should the US decline to contribute in the normal proportions hen why should we make any contribution. If other IMF countries all contribute in their normal proportions then there is little to justify the UK not participating.

    So I would suspect the US’s actions would be the main determinant of any Tory rebellion.

  2. Rachel says:

    Hiya Gary

    The Tory MPs may not be too concerned but for the girl is the street:- This is not a great move for Cameron. Now he looks weak:- a spineless, pathetic excuse for a Prime Minister. He’s giving up his and the UK’s future in exchange for an easy-ride to the next election, with the Lib-Dems driving from the back seat. Come on Nigel F, fire-up that lifeboat, pull-up alongside, zillions of Tory voters are ready to abandon ship. And yes, you’re gonna need a bigger boat! Much bigger!

  3. pierregonzalez says:

    In any case all that might be a waste of time as in 3 months time there is elections in France and the socialist candidate who is expected to win said very clearly that he will ask for renegotiation of the Pact.
    It will be possible because due to the time the paperwork is ready the Pact will not be confirmed by the French Parliament .
    The argument is very popular among French voters who are quite fed up to be ruled by Adolf Merkel.
    Another candidate expected to finish second or third is planning to leave the Eurozone and since promising that is enjoying a good increase in voting intentions.
    Nobody wants a Europe ruled by Germany !
    Not only Cameron.
    And this stupid idea to report to the European Court of Justice the countries who don’t succeed to reach the target !
    What will be Adolf Merkel next proposal ? To put their citizens a yellow star and to deport them ?

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