13 Jun 2016

EU vote: Labour’s Unreachables

STOCKTON-ON-TEES, ENGLAND - MAY 25: Alan Johnson, (L) chair of the Labour In for Britain campaign meets Alex Cunningham, Labour MP for Stockton North as he arrives with the Labour In battle bus on May 25, 2016 in Stockton upon Tees, England. The Labour In for Britain battle bus will make several trips to the north east region as it tours the area ahead of the EU referendum on June 23. (Photo by Ian Forsyth/Getty Images)

One Labour MP told me their local party has pretty much given up on certain areas in the constituency that are considered lost causes for Remain.

The MP said: “We concentrate on four or so wards, and don’t go into the white working class wards here… there’s no point.”

While we were in Birmingham and Walsall following the Labour Remain battle bus around, we dipped out of the tour to check out Coalpool, an inter-war estate with much higher white electorate than some other parts of the area.

Voters here were pretty hostile to the EU though you found some who were uncertain. We didn’t bump into anyone who’d heard from Labour’s campaign to Remain in the EU.

The Remain camp believes there will be some Labour seats where the voters are more prosperous and overall it still believes it can get 55-60 per cent of Labour voters across the whole of the country to back Remain, targeting a message about the economy and Labour values at more middle-class supporters.

One campaigner there thinks 40-45 per cent of Labour identifiers may back Leave. The latter group are often blue collar, often in seats where Ukip did quite well in the general election, those seats often ones where the turnout was closer to 50 than 60 per cent (general election turnout was 61 per cent for the whole UK).

Some Labour MPs are still ploughing the lean furrows of estates where support is low. One Remain strategist explains that quite a few Labour MPs are realising after knocking on doors that they represent constituencies that will vote to Leave come the 23rd June, in some cases by a margin of 20 per cent.

Even if Remain were to win next week that leaves those Labour MPs in an uncomfortable place with many of their voters.

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4 reader comments

  1. edith cresson says:

    Turkey, supported by Brussels, Is this biggest threat to peace, our way of life and in time to the freedom of our daughters, Gays and other minority groups, why?
    Recep Tayyip Erdogan, President of Turkey
    He was the one who bribed the EU to give him £billions to take on immigrants arriving in Greece etc and as part of the deal, prior to joining the EU getting visa free travel for its mainly 77 million Muslims to Europe.

    More worrying, in last Year’s 562nd anniversary of the fall of Constantinople he said (President Erdogan)
    “what is the conquest? The conquest is Hijrah” ( the expansion of Islam through emigration)
    “It is to make the sycamore meet with the ground that would cover three continents and seven climates”

    To top it all off, the crazy bureaucrats in Brussels have given Ford £80 million to move from the UK to Turkey, so much for being part of Europe

  2. Jack says:

    I just watched the Ch 4 party political broadcast. Only one opoint of view….REMAIN in a slow motion car crash.
    Also, in my opiniomn the Poles are great for GB.
    I remember when (prior to the EU) they worked over here and made a difference by their hard work and diligence.
    If citizens DO vote to LEAVE the EU, it will be the fault of the media, just as much as the politicians.
    Could be that if we do vote leave, our politicians, on past form may just fiddle the figures til it suits THEIR agenda!
    Democracy?? Not if sitting politicians disagree (and their pet media is onside!)

  3. James says:

    I will never forgive them for Rotherum. Labour stinks of anti-Semitism, pandering to muslims, and has some deranged flirtation with islamist goups like Hammas. Screw Labour and all the phoney middleclass liberals who support it. I hopes its existence dies out.

  4. Lisa Knight says:

    Why is nobody didcussing the fact that the vote is ‘advisory’ and can be over-ruled by the govt?

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