15 Nov 2019

Who’s most likely to win the general election? | Politics: Where Next? podcast

Political Editor

In this week’s podcast, veteran political analyst Professor John Curtice and Professor Matthew Goodwin of the University of Kent share their¬†predictions for this general election.

Both are agreed that a Conservative majority is most likely at this stage, but aren’t ruling out a hung parliament.

According to Curtice, “the Tories are about 2:1 on to get the majority at the moment. So 66% probability.”

When asked about the chances of a Labour majority, Curtice says it’s “as close to zero as to be effectively zero, but that’s not what this election is about. This election is a choice between whether Boris Johnson gets a majority or not.”

The full discussion is available wherever you get your podcasts, or watch it in full on YouTube.