5 Oct 2011

Italy’s credit rating slashed by Moody’s

As Italy’s credit rating is slashed by Moody’s from Aa2 to A2, the agency warns further downgrades are a possibility.

Moody’s lowered its rating on Italy’s bonds by three notches, saying it saw a “material increase” in funding risks for eurozone countries with high levels of debt.

The agency downgraded Italy to A2 from Aa2, a lower rating than it holds on Estonia and on a par with Malta, and kept a negative outlook on the rating.

The cuts underline growing investor concern about the eurozone’s third largest economy, which is now firmly at the centre of the debt crisis and dependent on help from the European Central Bank to keep its borrowing costs under control.

Italy's credit rating slashed

“The negative outlook reflects ongoing economic and financial risks in Italy and in the euro area,” Moody’s said in a statement.

“The uncertain market environment and the risk of further deterioration in investor sentiment could constrain the country’s access to the public debt markets,” it said.

It added that Italy’s rating could “transition to substantially lower rating levels” if there was long-term uncertainty over the availability of external sources of liquidity support.

Read more: Italy's credit rating downgraded in debt crisis

Italy’s mix of chronically low growth, a public debt mountain amounting to 120 per cent of gross domestic product, and a struggling government coalition has caused mounting alarm in financial markets.

The decision by Moody’s came as little surprise after the agency said on 17 September that it would finish a review for possible downgrade of its rating on Italy within a month.

But it highlights the growing vulnerability of the eurozone, which is already struggling to contain the crisis in the far smaller Greek economy and which would be overwhelmed by a crisis of a similar scale in Italy.

“It’s not that unexpected but it doesn’t help the situation at all,” said Robbert Van Batenburg, head of equity research at Louis Capital in New York.

“They have already traded as if there was somewhat of a downgrade in the works, so it will probably force Italian policymakers to embark on more austerity measures. It will put another fiscal strait-jacket on them.”

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