The Queen’s Speech
Over recent days I’ve been chatting to people in Whitehall and the Commons who have to umpire the messy game that could follow the general election. You get very different answers about the rules in play.
One source said that would be perfectly in order and agreed with the senior Tory who said one defeat wouldn’t be the end of the day; a minority government could come back with a fine-tuned Queen’s Speech in a spirit of humility, effectively conducting negotiations on the floor of the Commons.
Another source mocked that idea and said that a defeat on the Queen’s Speech could only be seen as sign that you couldn’t command the Commons – the “reputational damage” of carrying on after a defeat like that would be enough to put a party leader off that course of action.
I asked various sources how the Queen might feel about turning up in a grand ceremonial opening of parliament mode, lending the lustre and spectacle of the monarchy to what could be a political bear fight. Some say that’s no problem, and you get the sense their advice has been heard in Tory high command.
But you can’t help thinking that The Queen wouldn’t want to be used in that way. The Queen’s Speech is a moment when the monarch hopes to launch the ship of stable government. Would Her Majesty really want to watch it slide down the slipway with the soldering not finished and a distinct chance of it keeling over within sight of the dock?
Another source pointed out the option of a second royal proclamation delaying the Queen’s Speech if who could govern wasn’t clear in time for the set date of 27 May. That was perfectly possible, I was told, but would not be popular at the palace because it would almost certify the whole proceedings as a full-blown crisis.
Although the Queen’s private secretary will be operating out of Whitehall side by side with the Cabinet Secretary Sir Jeremy Heywood and their joint aim is to keep the Queen out of everything, the fact that we live under a constitutional monarchy with a Queen’s Speech tradition could influence the options on offer.
Another country with a republican system might think nothing of charging into parliament and testing the validity of two different parties’ claim to rule. Our parliament kicks off with a grand occasion that is meant to put the royal kite-mark on stable government and though there’s nothing in the rules to stop a Queen’s Speech that initiates a government that falls at the first fence (and there is distant precedent), would the palace really want it?
For those interested in the precedents for Tory governments hanging on for their Queen Speech to be voted down you can read the debates here: 1892, 1923. Both times the Tories wanted to embarrass their opponents by making it clear who was voting with whom (Irish Nationalists with Gladstone Liberals in 1892, Liberals with Labour in 1923).
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