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Last Modified: 11 May 2008
Source: ITN

Labour could be heading to defeat in a crucial by-election in ten days' time, according to the latest opinion poll.

The ICM survey for The Mail on Sunday carried out in the Crewe and Nantwich constituency puts the Tories on 43 per cent, four points ahead of Labour on 39 per cent, with the Liberal Democrats trailing on 16 per cent.

The figures represent a 10 per cent swing since the last general election and would turn Labour's 7,078 majority into a Conservative majority of well over 1,000.

Worryingly for Labour, the party would fare even worse in a general election with 49 per cent saying that they would vote Tory in a national poll, as against 33 per cent for Labour and 15 per cent for the Lib Dems.

The by-election in Crewe and Nantwich was triggered by the death of MP Gwyneth Dunwoody last month.

© Independent Television News Limited 2008. All rights reserved.

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