ࡱ>  @\p Peter Kellner Ba==h,x<%8X@"1Arial1Arial1Arial1Arial1Arial1Arial1Arial1( Arial Narrow1( Arial Narrow1( Arial Narrow1( Arial Narrow1( Arial Narrow1( Arial Narrow""#,##0;\-""#,##0""#,##0;[Red]\-""#,##0""#,##0.00;\-""#,##0.00#""#,##0.00;[Red]\-""#,##0.005*0_-""* #,##0_-;\-""* #,##0_-;_-""* "-"_-;_-@_-,)'_-* #,##0_-;\-* #,##0_-;_-* "-"_-;_-@_-=,8_-""* #,##0.00_-;\-""* #,##0.00_-;_-""* "-"??_-;_-@_-4+/_-* #,##0.00_-;\-* #,##0.00_-;_-* "-"??_-;_-@_-"Yes";"Yes";"No""True";"True";"False""On";"On";"Off"0.0                + ) , *   (  x  x  1|  x  |   (  x@@   x  x@  x  !   8  x  |   ,  x  x  x  x 8  8  8  8  8    8@  |  |@  |    |  |@  |  8@  8 8 8@ 8 `4Results,  ;;* );;`i Are you? Kellner Age Social GradeMaleFemale18 to 2930 to 50Over 50ABC1C2DECWhich of these do you regard as the greatest threat to world peace?IraqN KoreaIranIsrael Palestinians United States None of them Don't know Tony Blair...President George W Bush...MHow big a threat do you think Saddam Hussein is at the moment to world peace?A very big threatA fairly big threatA fairly small threatNo threat at alleHow big a threat do you think Saddam Hussein is at the moment to the lives of people here in Britain?C'Saddam Hussein has strong links to the Al Q'aida terrorist group.'T'Saddam Hussein has chemical and biological weapons, such as anthrax and nerve gas.'6'Saddam Hussein is trying to develop nuclear weapons.'l'Saddam Hussein is deliberately hiding weapons of mass destruction from the United Nations arms inspectors.'7Which, if any, of these prospects would alarm you most?,Saddam helping the Al Q'aida terrorist group(Saddam trying to develop nuclear weapons3Saddam threatening the stability of the Middle EastNone of these things alarm meRecently the United States has produced evidence that it says proves that Iraq still has weapons of mass destruction. Do you think this evidence is...?'Iraq has weapons of mass destruction and if we don t deal with that now, those weapons may well end up in the hands of terrorists.'Totally convincingFairly convincingFairly unconvincingTotally unconvincing'Saddam is an evil dictator who has even used weapons of mass destruction against his own people. Dealing with such a tyrant is simply the right thing to do.''War against Iraq is wrong because the threat from Saddam does not compare with the number of Iraqi civilians who would die in any conflict.'wHow have the recent terrorist incidents and arrests in Britain changed the need to take military action against Saddam?Increased the need a lotIncreased a little No changeDecreased a littleDecreased a lotsWhich of these statements do you think best reflects the relationship between Tony Blair and President George Bush?%Tony Blair is President Bush's lapdog7Tony Blair is a restraining influence on President Bush*Neither man has any influence on the otherDAgain, which of the following two statements do you agree with most?6'Iraq is a threat to international security and peace'Neither statement=Which of the following two statements do you agree with most? None of these1Which of these statements do you agree with most?Do you support or oppose the proposal, that some have suggested, to avoid war by letting Saddam Hussein and his family leave Iraq for good, with the guarantee that he would not be put on trial for 'crimes against humanity'?Support stronglyTend to supportTend to opposeStrongly oppose6Which of these statements best reflects your own view?5Decide to back immediate military action against Iraq(The United Nations should take no actionPIf the United Nations decides to back the use of force against Saddam Hussein...Strongly supportIf most members of the UN Security Council back the use of force, but one or two countries use their veto to block UN action...If most members of the UN Security Council do NOT back the use of force, but President Bush asks Britain to supply troops to a US-led action...Do you agree or disagree with the statement:  Saddam Hussein is cruel, but war is not the answer to the problem. Iraq is America's war, not ours. Agree strongly Tend to agreeTend to disagreeDisagree strongly:Which of these statements do you consider most convincing?Neither statement is convincing, Saddam Hussein must be removed from power. 7 Iraq's weapons of mass destruction must be destroyed. If Britain takes part in a war against Iraq, will the likelihood of serious reprisal attacks from terrorists who support Saddam Hussein...Increase a lotIncrease a littleNot change much either wayDecrease a littleDecrease a lotHow likely is it that a war against Iraq would lead to severe economic problems, such as much higher oil prices and higher inflation? Very likely Fairly likelyFairly unlikely Very unlikelycHow likely is it that a war against Iraq would lead to significant casualties among British troops?mIf there is a war against Iraq and Britain takes part, which of these possible consequences do you fear most?The deaths of Iraqi civiliansThe deaths of British troops#Terrorist reprisals against Britain1Conflict spreading to the rest of the Middle East%Damage to British jobs and prosperity'I do not fear any of these consequences?And which of these consequences do you fear next most strongly?pWhich of these do you think is the most likely outcome of a military action by Britain and America against Iraq?'A quick victory for Britain and America+An eventual victory for Britain and America*A long, drawn out war with no clear victorDefeat for Britain and AmericaMilitary action nearly always means the loss of lives. How many casualties among British troops would you find so intolerable that you would oppose British troops taking part in action against Iraq?None - I'm already opposed21-5051-200201-1000 1001 - 5000More than 5,000Any cost is worth bearingIf you had to choose, which of the following individuals would you hold most responsible for British casualties of war in Iraq?Saddam Hussein George Bush Tony BlairTotaliThe United Nations decided last November that Iraq should co-operate fully with UN arms inspectors. On 27 January the chief inspector, Hans Blix, said that Iraq was failing to give full co-operation. Mr Blix is due to present his next report in a few days time. If he says again that Iraq is failing to give full-co-operation, what should the United Nations do?Military action nearly always means the loss of lives. In the first Gulf War, 47 were killed. In the Falklands War it was 255. How many casualties among British troops would you find so intolerable that you would oppose British troops taking part in action against Iraq?NMilitary action nearly always means the loss of lives. In the Korean War 50 years ago, around 1,000 British soldiers were killed. In the Battle of Alamein in 1942, around 10,000 were killed. How many casualties among British troops would you find so intolerable that you would oppose British troops taking part in action against Iraq?=Do you consider the following statements to be true or false& 4How convincing do you find the following statements?|Would you support or oppose Britain contributing troops to a military action against Iraq in the following circumstances...?0 - 20YouGov Survey Results Blakeway Productions Iraq SurveyKSaddam having chemical and biological weapons such as anthrax and nerve gasRGenuine, and proves that Saddam really does still have weapons of mass destruction?Genuine, but does not prove that Saddam still has these weaponsDNot genuine - much or all of it has been fabricated by the AmericansBThe United States is a threat to international security and peace'b'America has singled out Saddam Hussein because he is a uniquely dangerous threat to world peace.'w'America has singled out Saddam Hussein because he is a threat to U.S. oil interests and influence in the Middle East.'K'America is seeking revenge for the terrorist attacks on 11 September 2001'F'Tony Blair's policy on Iraq is motivated by political self-interest.'L'Tony Blair's policy on Iraq is based on his sense of morality and justice.'c'President Bush is determined to go to war. There is nothing Saddam can do that would satisfy< him.' President Bush has not yet decided to go to war. Saddam could prevent it by helping the arms inspectors and dismantling all his weapons of mass destruction. k'Diplomacy and arms inspections have failed. It's time to launch a military action against Saddam Hussein.'x'There may be a case for taking military action against Saddam Hussein at some point - it depends on the circumstances.'k'Under no circumstances should Britain support or take part in any military action against Saddam Hussein.'Give an ultimatum, that military action will be taken against Iraq within a few weeks unless it proves it has dismantled all its weapons of mass destructiontAllow the arms inspectors as much time as necessary to do their work, even if Iraq continues not to co-operate fullyw Saddam Hussein is a tyrant who threatens world peace. The United Nations should be prepared to go to war to stop him.  By defying the United Nations, Saddam Hussein has become an international outlaw. The UN should be prepared to take military action to enforce its authority, like the police acting against the head of a criminal gang. TrueFalseSample Size = 2300LabConLib DemDiplomacy has failed. There may be a caseAllow as much timeTake no actionThinking about the situation concerning Iraq, how much do you trust each of the following to take the right decisions, on a scale of 0 to 10, where 0 means you do not trust them at all, and 10 means you trust them totally...? 2001 VoteWhich of these statements?"What should the United Nations do?7th - 10th February 2003Which statement?Saddam a tyrant - go to war%Saddam an outlaw - take police actionImmed-iate ActionUnder no circum-stancesGive an ultima-tumTHREE-WAY SPLIT - GROUP AGROUP BGROUP CMean k d RKf_    UN l!e#'3*,k.@1(34 @ @|9JPdv[  dMbP?_*+%8 p   &L&P0-&L&D&CYouGov Opinion Research&Rwww.YouGov.com&P&d2?'P&d2?(P&d2?)P&d2?MHP LaserJet 2100 Series PCL 6$w 4dA4$JAPD!CdTimes New RomanH  !C" c>&d2?>&d2?U} *8} 9} m:} m;} $:} $;} :}  ;} I:} I;} $ :} $ ;} :} ;}  :}  ;}  ;} $ |h;JJ J J J J JJJJv!JJJJJJJJJJJJJJ$ )~0*++++++++++++++++++++ ,0*++++++++++++++++++++2-*++++++++++++++++++++ -0*++++++++++++++++++++ -0*++++++++++++++++++++  % && %( 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