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The Big Ones

Iraq


Iraq's future

Iraqi workers reconstruct a building in Baghdad
(EPA/EMPICS)

Iraq's future

Iraq’s future is deeply uncertain. Now that Saddam’s murderous dictatorship is over, the international community has lifted economic sanctions and is trying to help Iraqis rebuild their country.

Some Iraqis are optimistic that the high turnout in the recent elections (58%) will lead to genuine democracy. If Shia and Kurdish leaders can reach agreement in the next few months, Iraq hopefully will have fresh elections and a new government by the end of 2005.

But all of this is threatened by the continuing violence targeting foreign troops, Iraqi security forces and civilians. Most of the resistance is coming from Iraqis who oppose the foreign presence or who are loyal to Saddam. Iraq’s best chance for a peaceful future is if ways can be found to bring Sunni Muslims into the new government, and if Western troops leave. Both seem unlikely for a long time. The UK and US troops will not leave until Iraq has enough properly trained police and military. But many Iraqis fear being killed by insurgents if they sign up.


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