money-house. House Price Predictions For 2009

House Prices The Latest House Price Forecast

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Date Published:
16/10/2008

How To Take Advantage Of The Housing Crash

So, you've got equity, could this be a time to make some money?

estate-agent-1. House Price Predictions For 2009

Liam Bailey continues, 'Whilst a market peak is hard to spot, so too is the bottom of the market. There are lots of buyers watching the residential market very closely, and they are desperate not to miss the floor when it comes. Equity backed investors are already active, and more are waiting for prices to correct in the forthcoming months.'

'The winners in this market will be anyone with equity who can buy over the next six months. Those requiring significant finance will be unlikely to be quick enough on their feet. Vulture funds and cash-rich individuals will be the first to benefit.'

'It may be hard to stomach but opportunistic buyers are looking for distressed property sellers. They are interested in individual properties – repossessions in particular – and also development land, or even newly completed developments. In fact, anything where values are felt to have fallen as far as they are likely to.'

Conclusion

So, two different opinions, but neither differing wildly. There were a few interesting phrases in these predictions, apart from 'hard to stomach'. One: 'fair pricing'. There are areas in the UK where people are starting to buy again based on, presumably, their gut feeling that prices have come down to a reasonable level from their peak in early 2007. And, two: 'distressed property sellers'. This suggests there are bargains to be had for anyone with equity who is prepared to take advantage of anyone in a tricky situation. If that's you, you need to start looking for a new property now...

For More Information

Click on the links for advice on what to do if you're facing debt and repossession.

For more money and property advice, click here >>

For a fuller assessment of what house prices will do in 2009, click here >>

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  1. I agree entirely with the KFH figures, having just sold my house in greater London in November. I accepted an offer of 13% less than the valuation in January 2008 and sold immediately. Additionally I found that over the last 8 months or so agents are not passing on offers from buyers to their clients. Some agents even telling sellers that reducing their price is pointless as it still won't sell. I know of many properties in my area which have been on the market now for well over a year with no price reduction. The result is sellers living in ignorance of the true state of the market. In the last recession the average London property bottomed out at 7 times the average London wage, having peaked at 10x, I expect exactly the same this time round. With the average wage currently at approx 30k this leaves a long way to go this year, before reality bites with agents and sellers not to mention certain economists.
    Posted by newman on 27/12/2008 03:53:32
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  2. I am first time buyer and recently put an offer through an estate agent. I am what you can call a "prime buyer" - good deposit and a mortgage promise. From agreeing a price it is only a matter of completing the transaction. The offer reflected what I believe is the right price. I am almost certain that the estate agent has not passed the offer to the vendor in the hope that a higher bidder will come along. People - vendors and agents - still leave in denial and it will take a few months before the reality hits and prices are adjusted accordingly. I am almost tempted to do a survey and see how many of our offers actually reach the sellers.
    Posted by Paul on 18/11/2008 10:17:17
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  3. I own a flat on the Sussex Coast which is sold subject to contract for £105000. It was the only offer I had in six months. It had been placed on the market originally at £154,950 eventually reduced to £119,950 with the third agent. Had I sold last year I probably could have achieved £140,000 a drop of 25%. I Know this figure because a similar flat in the block was sold for £138000 in July 2007
    Posted by Mike on 02/11/2008 23:12:11
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